Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot

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Slot Efficiency

Slot efficiency is the goal of increasing the number of slot switches that can be used while not violating the constraints that are predefined. These constraints can include, for instance, the minimum allowed operational delay (usually expressed as scheduling delays) fairness, equity, fairness, access, competition, environmental goals and more. The slot allocation process isn't easy, and optimizing it in order to achieve desired performance metrics requires careful examination of the factors involved.

The process starts by identifying the different types of requests to be prioritised in accordance with the past experience. Once the type of request is determined the slot allocation model is used to reduce the delay criteria. However, there are many research gaps have been observed in the optimization of slot scheduling models, especially when balancing efficiency and fairness.

A popular method of prioritizing slot assignments is the ABC (assigned by velocity) strategy, which collects information about the history of items and then determines the velocity group. Items that have the highest speed are given the best slots with free spins in the warehouse, whereas items with lower speeds are placed further back.

The distance factor is a key element in slot efficiency. It measures the amount of space required to support the pick-to ship process. The measure takes into account the velocity group of items as well as their racking placements and handling characteristics of the equipment.

It is also important to consider the cost associated with a slot change to improve slot efficiency. A quick review of the typical slot changes can help managers understand the cost associated with the move, and the impact that it might have on other elements of slot efficiency, including speed.

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Perimeter Efficiency

We all know wide receivers are more likely to score touchdowns when they are in a position to hit perimeter targets, rather than slot targets. This is because they are usually focused downfield and typically are in one-on-one coverage. One thing that might be surprising to some however, is that the top five slot players and the rest of the group score different on perimeter targets.

Of the wide receivers that have seen at least 40 targets each of the last two seasons the top five slot scorers on perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom half of the list was filled with more possession-based receivers including Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson. The Bucs will likely shift the latter two players into the slot more often this season, which could increase their targets. However, they'll have to improve their scoring on the perimeter to keep their high standards.

The slot is the ideal option for wideouts who are quick, since they can get open more easily when their route won't be covered by a linebacker or cornerback. The only non-speedy wide receiver on the list who benefits from more slot time is Corey Coleman, as he's an extremely reliable player on intermediate and short routes.

The bottom of the list is populated by possession-based receivers who perform better on intermediate and short routes than those in deep areas such as Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy is a good option to be a sleeper for this season since he'll be the primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are expected to play on more downfield targets. Hamler is expected to be a natural on short-to-mid-long and intermediate routes, as that's where he excelled while playing for the Bills in 2021. Hamler could be a great replacement for the former wideout Jordan Matthews.

Percentage of Snaps In Slot

The proportion of snaps a receiver takes in the slot is a good indicator of their ability to play deep routes. However, it's not always a true representation of a receiver's abilities as some receivers excel in the slot, but can't play deep and vice versa.

For instance, the Eagles' Alshon Jeffery leads the league in targets per game (4.8) however, he is ranked sixth in slot receiving score (58.5). This is due to the fact that the majority of his targets come from outside and it's hard to get a first down when playing a wide-open, deep route.

On contrary, some receivers excel in playing inside and aren't able to do much on the outside. Robby Anderson, for instance, was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He ran 74% of his routes in the slot, compared to only 26% on boundary routes. This is a significant difference and illustrates how much more efficient the player is when positioned in the slot.

Chris Godwin, a Buccaneers player, is inside the majority of his passing downs. He has one of the top five slot receiving scores (58.5). He also ran 51% of his perimeter routes and is a pro in one-on-1 coverage.

Speed receivers are more effective when lining up inside, because they can get targeted way down the field and frequently find themselves with one-on-one coverage. This is why you'll see names like Julio Jones, Mike Evans and Amari Cooper in the top five on our list.

McDuffie, Moore and other slot cornerbacks are also in this group. Both have been able create pressures during the passing game, with McDuffie leading the NFL with seven forced fumbles, and Moore being the most effective tackle stop rate on this list (-3.5). By deploying McDuffie in the slot when they run nickel or dime packages, and then placing McDuffie on the outside in base defense, Spagnuolo has maximized his skills. Moore's ability to stop big run plays is a major asset when playing the slot.

Percentage of Snaps Outside

While the NFL's top receivers, such as Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's also worth noting that their slot counterparts are equally good. As a group wide receivers with high slot receiving grades score touchdowns at roughly the same rate as players who are on the perimeter. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to slot and outside receivers compared to other inside options, such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.

It's therefore interesting to see a player like CeeDee lamb on this list for 2022. He plays the slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. He's actually running more routes in the slot than a lot of the players listed on this chart. This is a great way to create matchup advantages for your team and helps to explain why Lamb is the highest-rated slot receiver in our system this season.

Of course, he also plays the X position, and makes some big plays from the perimeter as well. Lamb isn't as fast as the other players in this ranking however he's still a high-graded wide receiver who is well-suited to the Cowboys scheme.

Mecole Hardman is a further example of a player who's capable of putting up big numbers on both types of targets. He is one of the best in the league at throwing throws from behind his shoulders. He's also a fantastic catcher who is contested.

Another player on this list who's a slot specialist in the true sense is Baltimore's Jalen Hilton, who has lined up in the slot on 85.7 percent of his defensive snaps this season. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA among cornerbacks aligned in the slot, making him a crucial player in the defense of his team. He's struggled to stop passes from the outside and his EPA against this type of target is negative. This has been a result of playing alongside unsafe linebackers who don't have the same size, speed and route-running ability.